With insights from Question 1 (Market Definition), Question 2 (Competitor Analysis), and Question 3 (Trend Analysis), you now have a clear understanding of your market, competitors, and trends shaping your industry. The next step in the Marketing Canvas process is to translate this knowledge into financial hypotheses and set quantitative goalsthat serve as benchmarks for success.
Your goals will be rooted in the revenue equation:
Revenue = Customers × Transactions × Average Price per Transaction
Step 1: Define your financial hypotheses
Start by linking the insights from the three market questions to each growth lever in the revenue equation.
1. Customers
Question 1: How large is your addressable market (TAM/SAM/SOM)?
Example: If your SAM is growing, focus on acquisition (GET strategy).
Question 2: How does your offering compare to competitors in perceived benefits (M9)?
Example: If you’re a challenger, leverage your unique strengths to attract new customers.
Question 3: What trends influence customer behavior?
Example: Social trends like sustainability might help you acquire eco-conscious consumers.
2. Transactions
Question 1: How frequently do customers interact with your product/service?
Example: Subscription models or habitual usage patterns could encourage consistent purchases.
Question 2: Are competitors driving repeat transactions through cross-selling or upselling?
Example: Competitors may use targeted promotions to increase purchase frequency.
Question 3: What trends drive increased engagement?
Example: Digital transformation enables seamless reordering or auto-renewal subscriptions.
3. Average Price per Transaction
Question 1: What is the price sensitivity in your market?
Example: Luxury segments might allow for premium pricing, while mass-market segments may not.
Question 2: How does your perceived price (M8) compare to competitors?
Example: If you have a strong perceived benefits score (M9), you may justify a higher price point.
Question 3: What trends impact pricing?
Example: Economic trends like inflation or demand for premiumization could shape your pricing strategy.
Example Financial Hypothesis:
Based on these insights, a business might define the following hypothesis:
Increase the customer base by 15% using sustainability-driven acquisition campaigns.
Boost transaction frequency by 10% with loyalty incentives.
Raise average price by 8% through premium features and bundles.
Step 2: Set quantitative goals for revenue
Translate your financial hypotheses into measurable revenue targets, broken down into the components of the revenue equation.
Example: Revenue goal breakdown
Current revenue: €1,000,000
Target revenue: €1,300,000 (+30%)
Revenue Breakdown:
Customers: Increase from 10,000 to 11,500 (+15%)
Linked Insight: Your SAM indicates a potential for 20% growth.
Transactions per customer: Increase from 2.0 to 2.2 (+10%)
Linked Insight: Competitor analysis shows a successful subscription model driving higher frequency.
Average price per transaction: Increase from €50 to €54 (+8%)
Linked Insight: Trends highlight premiumization as an opportunity to increase price mix.
How Market Insights Drive Goal-Setting
Here’s how the three market questions guide your financial goals:
Market definition (Question 1):
Use TAM/SAM/SOM to understand potential customer acquisition targets.
Identify where your offering fits within the growth and experience curves (M3, M4).
Competitor analysis (Question 2):
Leverage perceived price (M8) and benefits (M9) to define customer acquisition and pricing strategies.
Use competitor insights to identify gaps and opportunities in transaction frequency or price mix.
Trend analysis (Question 3):
Align goals with accelerators and brakes.
Example: Sustainability trends might drive both customer acquisition and higher pricing.
Final Thoughts
Defining financial hypotheses and setting quantitative goals creates a solid foundation for aligning your strategy with market realities. By using insights from Questions 1–3, you ensure that your goals are not only ambitious but also achievable.
The next step will assess each dimension of your strategy to determine whether it helps or hinders your ability to achieve these goals.
What financial hypotheses are you setting for your business? Share your approach in the comments!